Forecasting of the Employment Rate in the EU ICT Field
Ładowanie...
Data
2022
Inny tytuł
Typ
Artykuł recenzyjny
Redaktor
dc.contributor.advisor
Dyscyplina PBN
Ekonomia i finanse
Czasopismo lub seria
Comparative Economic Research. Central and Eastern Europe
ISSN
2082-6737
1508-2008
1508-2008
ISBN
DOI
10.18778/1508-2008.25.19
Strona internetowa
Wydawca
Wydawca
Wydanie
Numer
Strony od-do
Tytuł monografii
item.page.defence
Tytuł tomu
Opis
Rodzaj licencji
Abstrakt (en)
Theingrained tendency toimplement information andcommunication technologies (ICT) inEU enterprises over thelast decade has caused dramatic changes inthelabor market. Since thede-mand forICT personnel is growing, there is still aneed tocreate acomprehensive strategy toeffectively manage ICT specialists when restructuring enterprises. Theaim oftheresearch is toidentify transferring processes between low‑ andhigh‑skilled ICT personnel andpredict theemployment rate intheICT field until 2025. AMarkov chain was used as themethod ofanal-ysis. Using statistical data about theemployment rate ofICT personnel by education attainment level, wehave built aMarkov chain model that describes theprocesses ofICT personnel with different levels ofeducation. Data from 2005to2019 was used tobuild forecasting because oftheabsence ofthelatest information. Wedemonstrate that with thehelp ofdigitalization, theemployment rate ofICT staff in2025 will increase by 64% compared to2018. Theresearch verifies that ICT personnel will be ingreat demand until 2023 and, importantly, low‑ andmid-dle‑skilled personnel will be indemand, as well as high‑skilled personnel. Theemployment rate intheICT field will be atits highest level in2022 as thefavorable economic conditions forICT adoption will help it. The growing demand for low‑ and medium‑skilled ICT staff are met both by staff relocation processes and by the increasing digitalization of business units and public sec-tor institutions. The added value of the analysis is the prediction that the largest growth in ICT personnel employment will occur by 2023, but employment growth will slow down after that. The main obstacle to employment growth through digitalization is the global economic crisis because of different reasons.