The Impact of Migration on Forecasting Budget Expenditures on Education: The Sustainability Context
Ładowanie...
Data
2023
Inny tytuł
Typ
Artykuł recenzyjny
Redaktor
dc.contributor.advisor
Dyscyplina PBN
Ekonomia i finanse
Czasopismo lub seria
Sustainability
ISSN
2071-1050
ISBN
DOI
10.3390/su152115473
Strona internetowa
Wydawca
Wydawca
Wydanie
Numer
Strony od-do
Tytuł monografii
item.page.defence
Tytuł tomu
Opis
Rodzaj licencji
Abstrakt (en)
This paper examines the impact of migration and changes in the population’s age structure on government expenditures on education in Ukraine. The cohort method, considering a group of people attending four main types of education, namely, preschool, general secondary, vocational and technical, and higher education, is used to analyze and forecast government expenditures in the medium and long term. The study results show that migration significantly impacts government budget expenditures on education, with the most significant impact being seen on preschool educa tion, followed by higher education, while the impact on general secondary and vocational education is minimal. The number of people receiving education in one of the four main types of institutions funded by state and local budgets was predicted to gradually decrease during the forecast period, except for secondary and vocational education. The overall volume of state expenditures would grad ually decrease, both in absolute terms and as a percentage of GDP. Improving educational processes and the quality of budget spending should become an area for state regulation to ensure quality education in all funding conditions. This research’s leading theoretical and practical results show the efficiency of this methodology for analyzing and forecasting budget expenditures on education. They can be helpful in the short and medium terms, considering all potential changes in demographic indicators regarding the population.